Saturday, 16 December 2017

Fit Jumps 2017-12-16 Hand 11

Board 11
North Deals
♠K Q J 2
♥Q
♦J 7 5 2
♣A Q 10 3
♠8 4 3
♥9 8 7 6
♦8 3
♣J 8 7 6
N
WE
S
♠10 9 6
♥K 5 4 2
♦Q 10
♣K 9 4 2
♠A 7 5
♥A J 10 3
♦A K 9 6 4
♣5
WestNorthEastSouth
 1 ♦Pass2 ♥
Pass2 ♠Pass3 ♣
Pass3 NTPass4 ♦
Pass4 ♠Pass4 NT
Pass5 ♦Pass5 ♥
Pass6 ♦All pass 
6 ♦ by North
Lead: ♣ 2
Made 7 — NS +940

Here 2 ♠ shows a second suit and 3 ♣ shows a shortage. Bidding 3 NT shows a good club stopper and a hand suitable for 3 NT. With a minimum or a badly fitting hand without a good club stopper we can stop at 3 ♦.

South can see a slam opposite for example ♦ Q and ♠ KQ and a grand if the club stopper includes the ace. The bid of 4 ♦ is a slam try but it is limited. On the other hand direct cue above 4 ♦ rather than stopping at 4 ♦ would be insisting on slam unless it was discovered that a suit was not controlled.

North has a good hand in context, having shown no extra values and wastage in clubs. Therefore it is clear to cooperate with a spade cuebid. Responder checks for key-cards and then for the trump queen. When there is no trump queen we sign off in 7 ♦.

Actually the bidding here is a little pessimistic. After 2 ♠, which denies a balanced hand, it is very likely that opener has five diamonds. Therefore the trump queen is not necessarily needed. Opener has shown ♣ A and ♠ K and denied the ♥ K. If opener has a stiff heart then the grand will depend on opener having either the ♠ Q or the ♣ K extra and the ♠ J or ♣ Q will make the grand playable. There is however a problem diagnosing the heart shortage. The bidding is also consistent with a 4=2=5=2 hand, with a holding like ♣ AK or ♣ AQ.

Simulations suggest that on the available information partner will have a singleton or void heart over 90% of the time and the grand will make upwards of 70%.


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